Why Random Splits Mislead: Validating Models the Way They Will Be Used
A model can score brilliantly in testing and disappoint in production because the test did not resemble real use. How to design validation that tells the truth.
Insight topic
Modelling choices, data requirements and validation for machine learning work. Articles in this topic are written for leaders and practitioners who need practical, evidence-based guidance.
2 articles in Machine Learning
A model can score brilliantly in testing and disappoint in production because the test did not resemble real use. How to design validation that tells the truth.
An extraction system can be 95 percent accurate and still get the invoice amount wrong. Why field-level measurement drives better automation decisions.
Topic guide
Machine learning turns data into predictions, classifications and rankings. This topic covers the modelling and validation choices that separate models that work in testing from models that work in use.
FAQ
Common causes are validation that does not reflect real use, features containing information unavailable at prediction time, and changes in data after training.
No. For structured business data, well-engineered simpler models often perform as well and are easier to explain and maintain.
When monitoring shows accuracy declining or input data shifting, or on a schedule suited to how quickly the underlying patterns change.
Related
Where these ideas are put into practice.
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